Analytical Methods for the Logistics Professional
Presented by Robert Butler
TBD - Please call for more information
Sign up: seminars@tfdg.com or call 831-649-3800

Today, two partially offsetting factors are shaping the world of the logistics professional. System buyers are consistently demanding more and offering less -- less time and less money -- in return. In addition, increasingly well-integrated logistics processes and computer applications are making narrow specialties, so common among logisticians, more difficult to rely on. For both reasons, logistics departments, at one time bloated with large numbers of mediocre personnel, are now being reduced to only the most capable few. These survivors are in a crisis of insufficient resources attempting to satisfy excessive demands.

This new seminar is aimed at the survivors: the logistics practitioners who have to get more done with fewer resources. Help is available in the form of increasingly sophisticated software. But the software assumes a level of familiarity with the underlying processes that is not at all common. This course is aimed at logistics professionals who must understand the entire range of analytical processes and tools associated with the practice of modern logistics. The author has broad and lengthy experience in acquisition logistics, both as a practitioner and a teacher. His name is linked with such widely adopted tools and approaches as front-end analysis and CALS. He developed EDCAS^® and SDU^® and is currently finishing development of the Tools for Decision Database.

Course Outline

Day 1: Decision-Making and Total Ownership Cost

Introduction
The economics of decision-making
Costs versus benefits
Evaluating costs over time
Evaluating benefits of public goods

An introduction to models
What is a model?
What are models good for?
Total Ownership Cost
Alternative concepts and uses
A simple model

Day 2: The Analytical Disciplines of Logistics

Level of repair analysis
Definition
LOR extensions to the simple LCC model
Problems with LOR approaches
Logistic Support Analysis
The fundamental idea
The application of LSA in MIL-STD-1388
Problems with LSA

Day 3: The Analytical Disciplines of Logistics

Reliability Analysis
Prediction
Modeling redundancy
Failure Modes and Effects Analysis
Reliability Centered Maintenance
Spare stock computation and optimization
Basic ideas
Availability, fill rates and all that
Sparing to availability
Stock optimization
Applications of analysis: case studies
Logistics database issues
Analytical Methods
Trade-off analysis
Sensitivity analysis
Simulation analysis

About Robert A. Butler

Mr. Robert Butler is considered a leading authority on cost and logistic modeling and has made fundamental contributions to the field. He completed his graduate studies in economics at UCLA and began working on defense issues at RAND in 1966. In 1971 he began specifically working on hardware design issues. He has since amassed 25 years experience studying the acquisition process, looking for ways to influence design.

Mr. Butler's name has been linked with the early development of the HARDMAN and MANPRINT programs, the concepts of front-end analysis and CALS. His findings have been articulated in the development of the EDCAS models, the System Design Utility (SDU) and, more recently, the R2 Reliability Design model. A much sought after lecturer, Mr. Butler is widely known in the logistics community through public seminars in the U.S. and Europe, technical paper presentations, and lecture associations at UCLA, the University of Maryland, Virginia Tech., the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School, the Defense Systems Management College and Exeter University.

Contact us at seminars@tfdg.com or 831-649-3800 to schedule this seminar on-site at your location

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